TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf83…3385backed Over40c16,819$6,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,680.6331545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c7,517$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c6,727$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c6,126$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over24c3,963$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.9814612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c3,371$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over27c2,214$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.154727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under78c2,008$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.891968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c1,827$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.910451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c1,779$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.852,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under53c1,601$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.5984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over29c1,484$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under52c1,300$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6293450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over63c1,001$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under65c992.26$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under53c949.44$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under53c949$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.0310744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c883.25$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2921747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over61c815.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under57c814.26$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.133759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed Under54c737.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c518$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c476$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c467.59$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under59c465.28$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.283650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over48c462.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22222652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under56c460$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.411759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.558334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1888032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over20c394$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c382.42$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0755…fe68backed Over28c367.57$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Over47c354.06$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4118550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c352$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.482,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over47c346.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9813253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c320.13$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.662,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c309.77$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.911,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under54c300.46$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2141857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over47c299.97$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9919026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over56c265.51$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.536258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under59c258.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9731156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under52c252.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3110539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under53c249.96$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c249.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.312,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over27c242.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over43c224.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5740736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under55c218.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8416552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under53c217$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9941344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c207.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under58c205.71$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under76c198.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7214556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over55c183.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.944348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c174$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over31c151.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f5…8a51backed Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c145.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.227830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over42c140.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5915543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under64c130$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c123.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c116.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over22c114.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under66c113.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2750833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over46c112.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3118435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303444.1%15 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.617255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c109.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over33c102.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0516163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over43c102.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285761.4%35 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Under57c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over25c98.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c92.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over32c92.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over47c91.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1138439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c91.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under47c85.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.493850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over47c85.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c82.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over62c79.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.225455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.