Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc9ce64a6366aa6bfbb112e2778000a4c2f4e8dd328fc2ab33eec5b9f8ad378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 21c | 9,539$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 2,166$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 1,953$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 1,797$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 4c | 715.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 604$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 13c | 600$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 77c | 600$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 24c | 500.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 75c | 421.26$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 364.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 299.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 277.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 268$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 23c | 236.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 218.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 12c | 214.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 11c | 186.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 174$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 26c | 163.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 18c | 108.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 79c | 108.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 78c | 107.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 74c | 65.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 79cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…90fdbacked Over | 25c | 63.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 75c | 60.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 26c | 60.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 80c | 38.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 3.5this page
- Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 4.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Romania won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Romania won
- Spread: Romania (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Romania (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.