Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7564d08edd5236539e39e1a5370305ac0ba77a33ab88c30f353f79656f02f814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed Under | 28c | 7,460$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 64c | 6,646$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.76 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 5,154$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.39 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…66cbbacked Over | 72c | 5,060$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 5c | 3,589$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…0228backed Over | 72c | 2,408$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 39c | 1,725$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 66c | 1,263$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.31 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 831.28$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 653.12$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 37c | 544.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 462.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 8c | 416$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 351.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 309.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 278.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 247.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 45c | 241.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 69c | 208.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 182.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 171.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 59c | 163.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 53c | 150.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 27c | 146.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 28c | 140.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 139.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 133.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 53c | 109.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…7580backed Over | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 55c | 84.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 38c | 69.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 45c | 55.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 27c | 53.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 60c | 47.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 36c | 42.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 36c | 37.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 48c | 36.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 41c | 36.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Under | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…b3e8backed Over | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 32.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Over | 73c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 72c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…6cd6backed Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Over | 53c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…2871backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5this page
- Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 4.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Romania won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Romania won
- Spread: Romania (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Romania (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.