AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91176679e01afef29f85ed582d6d8efd45e36ad5567f5ec26913ab7ade43928a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 11c | 8,452$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.61 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 6,099$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 3,010$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.83 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 74c | 1,766$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.01 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 75c | 1,562$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 1,282$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 1,220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,095$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…cf42backed Yes | 77c | 1,076$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 8c | 897.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 843.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 806.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 775.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 718.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 19c | 694.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 72c | 692.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 675.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 634.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 617.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 74c | 600.45$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 6c | 585.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 75c | 585.67$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…d545backed No | 23c | 531.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 3c | 512.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 7c | 507.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…0a19backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…90f5backed Yes | 74c | 431.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 8c | 375$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…e526backed Yes | 70c | 360.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…d3b0backed Yes | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 70c | 350$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 16c | 320.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 18c | 313.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 8c | 303.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…637ebacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…602ebacked No | 35c | 283.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 79c | 266.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…cc4fbacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 77c | 258.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…5a1abacked Yes | 78c | 255.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 70c | 243.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 26c | 241.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 26c | 233.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +191%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 7c | 211$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…0decbacked Yes | 71c | 210.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 73c | 207$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…db32backed Yes | 77c | 203.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 10c | 201.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…ed22backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0683…dbf3backed Yes | 74c | 190.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 67c | 172.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 25c | 158.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 33c | 150.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…93d1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked Yes | 69c | 144.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 24c | 142.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Yes | 71c | 140.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…7e7fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…cb4dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 78c | 134.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…fa70backed Yes | 70c | 134.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…4a2bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…97bfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…c338backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 73c | 128.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3857backed Yes | 74c | 127.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 123.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…3916backed Yes | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…ffb9backed No | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d20dbacked Yes | 79c | 111.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…b449backed No | 15c | 109.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 16c | 106.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 323 | 29.1%94 W · 229 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…ec0cbacked Yes | 71c | 104.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…cd9abacked No | 25c | 104.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 27c | 103.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…5e07backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…b8d0backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 20c | 95.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…e0c7backed No | 16c | 95.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 21c | 90.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…f8fabacked Yes | 70c | 90.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 25c | 80.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…4b53backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…73b3backed Yes | 70c | 77.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…20fdbacked No | 30c | 73.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked Yes | 76c | 72.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…acc0backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.