Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3748407e6169c69e49dfd5e5cfb0928e965b04289ead2e6e81fa6dec117db6f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.96 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 38c | 2,603$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.71 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 2,278$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,816$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 1,814$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 56c | 1,769$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 39c | 1,401$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.38 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 44c | 1,195$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 69c | 1,153$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.58 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 67c | 1,029$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.51 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 670.31$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 39c | 599.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 62c | 590.32$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.58 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 62c | 408$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 270$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 64c | 266.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 72c | 264.83$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 219.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 58c | 191$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 68c | 170.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 69c | 144.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 126.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 17c | 112.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 102.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 51c | 68.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 37c | 57.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…39d9backed Over | 63c | 49.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 36c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 38.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 37c | 34.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Over | 53c | 33.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Under | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 37c | 29.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 29.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 21.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.