Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7fb5648887558ac921b2bb7083415eb4db2188124091caf1f07ac622ffb7dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, Jordan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Switzerland | 62c | 3,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Jordan | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Switzerland | 60c | 1,106$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Switzerland | 58c | 854.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.77 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Jordan | 34c | 741.35$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…809dbacked Switzerland | 60c | 614.65$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jordan | 15c | 560$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Switzerland | 75c | 495.55$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Jordan | 37c | 386.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Switzerland | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Jordan | 40c | 327.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jordan | 41c | 254.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Jordan | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Jordan | 39c | 211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jordan | 21c | 200.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Jordan | 40c | 181.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Switzerland | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Switzerland | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Jordan | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Switzerland | 59c | 125.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jordan | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Jordan | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Jordan | 11c | 99.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Switzerland | 63c | 79.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Jordan | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Jordan | 21c | 75.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Jordan | 41c | 74.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…b090backed Switzerland | 61c | 50.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Jordan | 41c | 43.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…9faebacked Jordan | 42c | 42.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Switzerland | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Switzerland | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…6468backed Switzerland | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Switzerland | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Switzerland | 69c | 32.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Switzerland | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jordan | 38c | 31.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Switzerland | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Switzerland | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Switzerland | 60c | 28.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Jordan | 41c | 27.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Switzerland | 75c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Switzerland | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Switzerland | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Switzerland | 59c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.