Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5da0228cceb208a36f77d55ae5a253ed2173e16d304f2ba50de9fa663d070d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 10,644$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 6,315$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 64c | 3,923$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.24 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 2,415$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 2,399$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 78c | 1,404$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 7c | 1,219$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 6c | 1,205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 1,039$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 750.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 55c | 739$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.41 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 66c | 710$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 15c | 683.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 620.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…4dbdbacked Over | 5c | 399.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…809dbacked Over | 37c | 366.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 23c | 298.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…09debacked Over | 48c | 264.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 36c | 207.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 64c | 190.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 8c | 163.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 27c | 148.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 8c | 133.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 17c | 120.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 54c | 97.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 68c | 94.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 20c | 59.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 79cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 27c | 47.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 28c | 46.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Under | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 79c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.