Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc328dbe2fe0dad95ba3540fcc396bdacbdd095f9862a17a309331ddd5825776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,970$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 75c | 1,592$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,037$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 987.46$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 29c | 852.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 35c | 843.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.37 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 40c | 742.35$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 10c | 662.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 65c | 616.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 21c | 599.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 491.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 477.38$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 244.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 14c | 242.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…809dbacked Over | 49c | 205.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 35c | 202.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 18c | 170.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 55c | 168.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 50c | 131.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 80c | 125.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 21c | 118.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 80c | 117.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 43c | 114.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 79c | 113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Under | 62c | 94.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 33c | 68.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…6a87backed Over | 77c | 53.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 64c | 40.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 51c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 42c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 35.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 50c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 33.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Under | 74c | 28.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…cdd8backed Over | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 53c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.