Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56cb3ff220524596398cf02b586e626bd5acdf2ebe838a520aac8a05464b242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, Jordan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jordan | 1c | 2,998$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Jordan | 65c | 1,389$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Switzerland | 44c | 1,237$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Jordan | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Switzerland | 45c | 776.74$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Jordan | 65c | 767.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Switzerland | 55c | 499.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Switzerland | 35c | 475$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Switzerland | 40c | 455.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Switzerland | 53c | 362.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Jordan | 65c | 335$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Switzerland | 69c | 309$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…f668backed Jordan | 32c | 308.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jordan | 49c | 297.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Jordan | 66c | 181.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Switzerland | 55c | 145.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Jordan | 64c | 132.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jordan | 65c | 125.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Jordan | 57c | 93.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Switzerland | 50c | 59.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jordan | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Jordan | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Switzerland | 35c | 33.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jordan | 65c | 21.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.