Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe852efcbcb8a80330bfeb32153c44a9b06f73abe82924bc9000cc9d061e884dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 13c | 3,129$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,016$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 2,945$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.08 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 41c | 1,190$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 65c | 1,131$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.94 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 1,074$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 1,053$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.59 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 58c | 1,040$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.54 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 42c | 856.72$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 815.42$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.91 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 44c | 806.02$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.02 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 48c | 716.67$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Over | 56c | 595.68$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 40c | 592.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 60c | 536.88$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 476.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over | 55c | 476.13$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 59c | 465.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 60c | 453.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 60c | 442.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 11c | 283.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 278.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 254.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Over | 61c | 206.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +152%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 205.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 73c | 196.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Over | 78c | 174.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 165$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 37c | 157.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 149.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 48c | 96.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 60c | 47.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 33c | 46.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 63c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 60c | 38.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 39c | 34.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 61c | 31.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 29.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Over | 61c | 29.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 38c | 27.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…5f4fbacked Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 61c | 26.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…bc90backed Under | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 61c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 60c | 22.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 72c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.