Fifa International · resolved market
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480189a4423e4403720f38f32950e3e65378e3fa1018c24d8afa12d3a97e2a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 7,178$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 3,494$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 41c | 3,267$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.69 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 31c | 2,852$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.89 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 56c | 2,542$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.37 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 27c | 2,184$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.84 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 2,170$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 71c | 1,636$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.64 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 32c | 1,470$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.02 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 1,217$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.26 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 75c | 1,201$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.82 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 75c | 1,117$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 45c | 1,073$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 1,007$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 966.76$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 47c | 851.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 75c | 799.17$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 77c | 797.27$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 68c | 761.69$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.95 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 737.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 25c | 714.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 34c | 709.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.4 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 692.96$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 41c | 580.15$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 59c | 557.63$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.03 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 40c | 547.12$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 544.54$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 80c | 517.13$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.7 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 42c | 414.21$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 38c | 410.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.53 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 41c | 336.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 59c | 323.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 64c | 310$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Over | 73c | 307.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 44c | 299$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 5c | 283.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…95c6backed Under | 9c | 260$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…a97ebacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 77c | 258.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 60c | 249.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 241.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 241.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 33c | 211.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 43c | 194$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 59c | 187.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 39c | 151.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 37c | 143.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 25c | 128.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 38c | 109.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 107.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 77c | 99.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 47c | 88.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 53c | 84.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 59c | 77.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 60c | 75.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 64c | 73.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 23c | 66.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 53c | 63.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 64c | 56.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 54.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 74c | 51.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 32c | 49.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 62c | 47.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 30c | 46.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…8ff2backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Over | 46c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 70c | 43.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 76c | 43.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 40c | 39.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 67c | 37.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 36.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 55c | 32.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5this page
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 0.5Over won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 2.5Under won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 3.5Under won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Guinea (-1.5)Northern Ireland won
- Spread: Northern Ireland (-1.5)Guinea won
- Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)Guinea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.