TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c7,178$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c3,494$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under41c3,267$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.6917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under31c2,852$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.8932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under56c2,542$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.3731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.273450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under27c2,184$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.8430642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c2,170$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over71c1,636$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.6420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under32c1,470$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.0213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c1,217$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.261,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under75c1,201$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under75c1,117$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under45c1,073$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.512259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over59c1,007$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.152,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over80c1,000$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79615763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over42c966.76$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under47c851.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over75c799.17$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under77c797.27$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over68c761.69$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.9510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c737.85$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under25c714.28$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.784744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under34c709.33$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.410744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c692.96$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.131,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c580.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over59c557.63$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under40c547.12$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over57c544.54$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over80c517.13$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.73669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under42c414.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.213850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under38c410.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.535232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under41c336.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.411654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over59c323.17$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.151,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over64c310$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.321955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over73c307.3$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over44c299$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under5c283.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.71922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…95c6backed Under9c260$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+236.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…a97ebacked Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under77c258.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7256151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over60c249.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over77c241.56$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over36c241.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.622,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under38c236.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over33c211.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over43c194$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over59c187.28$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9718764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under39c151.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under37c143.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4931553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under25c128.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2116231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under31c125$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2517217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under38c109.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1920330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c107.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.743,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under77c99.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over80c93.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511775.2%88 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under47c88.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.122748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over58c86.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9924840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over53c84.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.771323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over37c78.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over59c77.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.998773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over60c75.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2811364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under64c73.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under23c66.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.511,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over53c63.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.416547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over64c56.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8627254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over80c55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over58c54.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.831,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aab…2a65backed Over74c51.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.932259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under32c49.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9817737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over62c47.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7931550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6220047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1511238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over30c46.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2146562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e98…8ff2backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Over46c43.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under70c43.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9715646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under76c43.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.467163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258467.9%57 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over40c39.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over67c37.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.347350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over53c36.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over55c32.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…e2c0backed Over77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.924257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.