Fifa International · resolved market
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb2d256999211cf5dbae78e68cd2fa4a4f3d95811262ad187add65343b2403f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 53c | 2,852$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.58 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Yes | 45c | 2,211$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,067$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 1,345$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 44c | 1,125$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 38c | 968.04$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 701$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 693.3$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 54c | 689.2$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.03 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 54c | 677.12$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…a97ebacked Yes | 34c | 590.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 56c | 454.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 71c | 437.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 356$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 7c | 307.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 45c | 278.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Yes | 8c | 245.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 55c | 226.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 47c | 203.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 201.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 58c | 165.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 57c | 135.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 55c | 129.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 54c | 126.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 26c | 104.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 33c | 85.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 74.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 46c | 65.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed No | 56c | 61.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 33c | 59.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 59c | 57.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 60c | 55.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 52.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 52.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 65c | 50.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 41c | 42.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 38.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 28c | 37.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 37.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 57c | 26.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 56c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 0.5Over won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5Under won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 2.5Under won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 3.5Under won
- Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Guinea (-1.5)Northern Ireland won
- Spread: Northern Ireland (-1.5)Guinea won
- Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)Guinea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.