TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Guineaof Northern Ireland, Guinea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,411 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x314a…80f6backed Northern Ireland8c7,790$623 inLost-$623.21166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x119f…c555backed Northern Ireland6c1,842$111 inLost-$110.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18f…d12fbacked Northern Ireland6c1,469$94 inLost-$94.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e5…ad2cbacked Northern Ireland6c1,468$94 inLost-$93.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…28b4backed Northern Ireland6c1,458$93 inLost-$93.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e14…8d97backed Northern Ireland6c1,447$93 inLost-$92.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…7ff4backed Northern Ireland6c1,427$86 inLost-$85.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda98…9b24backed Northern Ireland6c1,425$86 inLost-$85.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538c…d20bbacked Northern Ireland6c1,425$91 inLost-$91.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…7779backed Northern Ireland6c1,397$84 inLost-$83.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff86…f004backed Northern Ireland6c1,388$83 inLost-$83.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb88…92e2backed Northern Ireland5c1,030$55 inLost-$54.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0752…05e1backed Northern Ireland5c1,030$55 inLost-$54.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ff…937bbacked Northern Ireland5c1,030$55 inLost-$54.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…3f1bbacked Northern Ireland5c1,025$54 inLost-$54.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6da…63ecbacked Northern Ireland9c1,010$89 inLost-$88.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…0875backed Northern Ireland9c980$85 inLost-$85.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…8740backed Northern Ireland9c968$84 inLost-$84.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…54b0backed Northern Ireland9c950$83 inLost-$82.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3510…8203backed Northern Ireland7c736$50 inLost-$50.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba98…112dbacked Northern Ireland5c720$38 inLost-$38.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…394abacked Northern Ireland7c700$48 inLost-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…d35dbacked Northern Ireland5c670$36 inLost-$36.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…4e23backed Northern Ireland5c669.99$36 inLost-$35.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…bf02backed Northern Ireland5c660$36 inLost-$35.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…c1b6backed Northern Ireland5c600$32 inLost-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30be…9c47backed Northern Ireland5c595$32 inLost-$31.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2e…0e8ebacked Northern Ireland7c590$40 inLost-$40.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5394…3041backed Northern Ireland5c574$30 inLost-$30.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc0…6fb8backed Northern Ireland7c565.99$38 inLost-$38.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…aa0abacked Northern Ireland5c564.99$30 inLost-$29.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89af…8077backed Northern Ireland5c560$30 inLost-$29.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…d035backed Northern Ireland5c560$30 inLost-$29.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef6b…940cbacked Northern Ireland7c557$38 inLost-$37.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c62…2ff7backed Northern Ireland5c540$29 inLost-$28.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3c…fb81backed Northern Ireland7c501$34 inLost-$34.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8fcebacked Northern Ireland5c485$26 inLost-$25.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b6…9ecabacked Northern Ireland5c479.99$25 inLost-$25.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a0…73a1backed Northern Ireland7c455$31 inLost-$30.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.