TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x083e…d9e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.19
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$13.11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$27.08
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$32.76
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$15.13
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$54.54
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$106.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.05
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$51.82
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$45.24
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.62
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$71.19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$146.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.59
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Dota 2: Satan666 vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$11.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$65.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48.17
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$51.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.79
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.36
Randers FC vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$77.01
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$119.1
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.64
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$77.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+52%+$52
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63%+$21.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$36.25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$72.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$50.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.