TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No63c15,913$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.13956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c12,018$5,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.222,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No62c9,429$5,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.0573440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No38c7,137$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c5,390$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.532,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c3,894$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.785,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes37c3,040$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.81,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes45c2,124$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.313330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes37c2,072$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6391148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c2,007$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.227,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes36c1,791$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.522,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes48c1,567$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.74238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No52c1,526$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.9851842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes52c1,409$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.572512%3 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes37c1,350$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.532436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No48c1,316$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3713332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes37c1,245$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.638251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c1,237$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.172,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes68c1,211$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No56c1,183$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.574845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Yes26c1,101$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed No74c1,076$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.786100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c904.32$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.763849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes46c869.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.996142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No65c809.3$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.036464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1424…157bbacked Yes45c769.31$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes67c746.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9913056.2%73 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No33c699.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.997342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes29c516.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3471533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes37c477.76$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2823347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083e…d9e7backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bd…ff97backed Yes62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c316$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.927338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes65c294.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…ec35backed Yes66c292.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes42c266.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.466445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No73c264.45$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4520742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No50c193.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6532350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes43c185.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8437049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No48c185$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.338147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.435263.5%33 W · 19 L+11.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes42c170.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.841,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes38c152.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.939158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No48c133.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8427554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3612…3302backed Yes37c129.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No58c122.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Yes39c121.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.362416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes60c116.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706669.7%46 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.513429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes38c103.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.511545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes67c99.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.984057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02d…cab5backed Yes46c89.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494a…0db9backed Yes41c87.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No58c83.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes37c82.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No54c82.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0133959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c82.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.232,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No60c80.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes50c73.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.882564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No49c73.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.477459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed No30c73.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.352147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No58c70.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5633853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes64c67.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1323743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes27c63.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes39c57.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.328956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes39c53.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.77812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Yes37c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes44c52.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked No58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e57…db88backed Yes65c46.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes39c45.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No62c36.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.181,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No53c33.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6330550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e7…090fbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc972…98b6backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e01…ec44backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked No60c32.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.224466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No58c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes44c22.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No57c22.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.594961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b96…6226backed Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed No55c19.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked Yes68c18.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No58c17.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.314652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.