TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc972…98b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.88
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.38
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.43
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
The Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.57
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.94
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.9
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.91
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.38
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.88
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.79
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.73
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.11
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+40.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.19
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.06
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.03
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.82
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.88
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.74
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.14
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.38
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.91
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.