Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcf1030301113d7e713dc50a9da59e6e2cd7cfe05b0b50c53dff60704739f4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NECof Olympiakós SFP, NEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed NEC | 65c | 16,413$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Olympiakós SFP | 34c | 8,529$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.93 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympiakós SFP | 34c | 7,777$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.26 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEC | 70c | 2,335$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.61 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Olympiakós SFP | 36c | 1,163$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Olympiakós SFP | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Olympiakós SFP | 40c | 805$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Olympiakós SFP | 37c | 699.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Olympiakós SFP | 31c | 562.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked NEC | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked Olympiakós SFP | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NEC | 61c | 383.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Olympiakós SFP | 36c | 365.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed NEC | 61c | 349.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked NEC | 65c | 294.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Olympiakós SFP | 41c | 244.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Olympiakós SFP | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NEC | 62c | 238$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Olympiakós SFP | 36c | 209.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Olympiakós SFP | 39c | 208.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Olympiakós SFP | 35c | 202.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked NEC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Olympiakós SFP | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Olympiakós SFP | 40c | 190.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed NEC | 66c | 154.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed NEC | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked NEC | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed NEC | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked NEC | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed NEC | 69c | 117.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed NEC | 69c | 117.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed NEC | 69c | 117.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed NEC | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Olympiakós SFP | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Olympiakós SFP | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed NEC | 62c | 91.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olympiakós SFP | 33c | 77.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed NEC | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked NEC | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…6b2bbacked NEC | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed NEC | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed NEC | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed NEC | 65c | 61.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed NEC | 66c | 59.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…4fdcbacked NEC | 65c | 59.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed NEC | 70c | 53.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed NEC | 66c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Olympiakós SFP | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked NEC | 60c | 49.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked NEC | 68c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed NEC | 70c | 45.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Olympiakós SFP | 38c | 39.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…95c0backed Olympiakós SFP | 40c | 32.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked NEC | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed NEC | 66c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed NEC | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed NEC | 66c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed NEC | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked NEC | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed NEC | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed NEC | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed NEC | 69c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked NEC | 69c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed NEC | 61c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NEC | 68c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.