Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6864bdef350b34afeb530764e769b9eafeabe3992fba83abc55f645592f47ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes | 56c | 7,201$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 25c | 3,580$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,082$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.76 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,832$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.13 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 44c | 1,710$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +9.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 1,446$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.95 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 1,422$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 44c | 1,075$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.33 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 44c | 855.12$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 44c | 855.12$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 848.31$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.57 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 741.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 30c | 399.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 379.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed Yes | 52c | 307.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 293.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 276.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 203.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…4aafbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 143.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 59c | 113.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 70c | 105.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 57c | 101.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 75c | 99.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 65c | 98.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…f1fdbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 68c | 72.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 55c | 60.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 43.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 42.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 46c | 40.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 44c | 34.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 63c | 33.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 29.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 45c | 26.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 61c | 23.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.