Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7939ff523a7717990b668e264744cc9388dd543516babbe8cc6259effa2f689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 3,369$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.65 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 42c | 3,239$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,139$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.97 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 8c | 2,958$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 2,676$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.43 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 2,420$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.23 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 1,416$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.92 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 1,221$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.57 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 58c | 1,130$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 59c | 956$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 25c | 380.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 355.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 41c | 280$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 244.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 74c | 192.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 192.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 68c | 167.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 70c | 166.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 154.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 57c | 147.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Over | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 121.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 48c | 84.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 58c | 73.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 67c | 71.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Under | 43c | 69.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 51c | 59.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 51.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 56c | 42.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 30c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 36.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 58c | 32.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 59c | 25.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…4494backed Over | 44c | 24.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 76c | 24.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 71c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.