Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c482df0276767ab3eaf4f1f36e97b552ccf2bda26eb5aaece0ac9610fb1dbf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 12,684$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400.66 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 5,767$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.44 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 4,687$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.5 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 4,259$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 28c | 2,782$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.67 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…0392backed Under | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 2,229$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.31 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 2c | 2,027$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 29c | 1,100$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 4c | 976.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.21 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 839.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 26c | 675$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 672.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 36c | 506$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 71c | 447.79$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Over | 25c | 434.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 4c | 390$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 31c | 379.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 361.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 4c | 332$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.72 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 71c | 280.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 246.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 18c | 238.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 34c | 236.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…42f2backed Over | 58c | 220.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 74c | 177$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 15c | 131.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 123.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 80c | 110.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 72c | 109.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 104.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 21c | 100.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 75c | 96.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 46c | 92.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 38c | 69.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 62.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 29c | 55.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 38c | 44.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 61c | 20.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.