Champions League · resolved market
Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f92a8359b955207249ba4a3bf51e52542867280545fe359561c224b54165c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 1,596$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.81 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 1,207$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.84 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 468.54$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 344.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 262.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 171.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 142.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 129.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 20c | 79.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 69.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 42c | 68.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 63.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 76c | 46.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 33.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 67c | 30.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 79cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Olympiakós SFP won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.