MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369a02a4f1343e5976f0cd6515b31a540d549cf038fcdcff4497898aa895715b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 40c | 25,555$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 60c | 23,933$14,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,482.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 13,605$8,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 60c | 9,902$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 61c | 9,396$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 38c | 6,426$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 39c | 5,775$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.25 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 5,314$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Under | 40c | 3,988$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 39c | 3,124$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.39 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 57c | 2,787$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 61c | 2,443$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.63 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 36c | 2,342$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.94 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 61c | 2,247$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.88 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 39c | 2,009$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.58 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 38c | 1,846$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 36c | 1,638$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 37c | 1,465$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 1,433$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 36c | 1,210$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 1,161$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 37c | 1,139$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.47 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 39c | 975$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 940.24$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 37c | 811$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 794.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 41c | 609$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 606.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 37c | 545.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 65c | 534.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 60c | 430.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 36c | 360$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 41c | 350$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 342.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 40c | 303.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 42c | 282.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 37c | 266$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 37c | 263.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 37c | 263.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 42c | 212.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 185.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 39c | 161.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 39c | 153.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 153.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 39c | 135.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 42c | 133$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 60c | 132.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 37c | 128.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 37c | 128.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 37c | 128.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 14c | 112.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 37c | 107.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 64c | 102.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…581bbacked Under | 70c | 66.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 45c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 39c | 59.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 64c | 56.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 37c | 52.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 37c | 51.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 37c | 51.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 37c | 51.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 37c | 46.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.