TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under40c25,555$10,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3331,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c23,933$14,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,482.224,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c13,605$8,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,151.4510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over60c9,902$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,940.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under61c9,396$5,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.361,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over38c6,426$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under54c6,000$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,79048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over39c5,775$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.256036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over43c5,314$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.042,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ed…552ebacked Under40c3,988$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.792937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over39c3,124$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.3977647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over57c2,787$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.6585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c2,443$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.632,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over36c2,342$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9471650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c2,247$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.881,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over39c2,009$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.5847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over38c1,846$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.241,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over36c1,638$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.685339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over37c1,465$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.144,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c1,433$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.82,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over36c1,210$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.540341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over40c1,161$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.592,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over37c1,139$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4738551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.322,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over39c975$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.251,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c940.24$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.514,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over37c811$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.078145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c794.38$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.145,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over41c609$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6918741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c606.6$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.252,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under63c599.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2228,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over37c545.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under65c534.22$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.982176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under60c430.73$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.291,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34e…c973backed Under61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.91877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over36c360$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.68245.1%37 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over41c350$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.771,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c342.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.938,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Over39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.82532%8 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over40c303.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.349956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over42c282.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over37c266$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.426953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over37c263.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.374231%13 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over37c263.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.374131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c244.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over42c212.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9046255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c185.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6734255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over39c161.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8917346.2%80 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over39c153.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over42c153.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over39c135.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7335747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over42c133$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8673653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under60c132.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1518272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over37c128.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4413344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over37c128.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4415147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over37c128.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.434332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under63c126$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.629837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over14c112.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1954715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed Over37c107.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under64c102.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8557747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over25c100.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3654146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Under62c98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8615248%73 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016744.9%75 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over35c82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.755448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ec…581bbacked Under70c66.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over45c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5788247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over39c59.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1217255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under64c56.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3529141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over39c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over39c54.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.239053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc972…98b6backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ea…1bd8backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over37c52.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.473933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over37c51.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over37c51.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Over37c51.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9712848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.326857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over37c46.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3328751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.