TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under53c165,140$87,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,482.946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under56c66,666$37,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,333.031,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c37,045$17,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,411.1571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over44c35,879$15,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,843.4310547.6%50 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c30,668$14,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,097.924,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c16,613$7,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,808.1192054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c12,890$6,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,056.611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over47c12,598$5,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,920.8377647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00059549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c9,397$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.184,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c9,331$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.333,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c9,235$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.3616548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over44c5,159$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.491,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c5,018$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.241,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over47c4,850$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.516753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over44c4,550$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c4,096$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.922,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c3,400$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over48c3,036$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.42,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over45c3,015$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.7145445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under56c2,650$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16612255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c2,612$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,351$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.695,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over45c1,868$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.482,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,853$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c1,810$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c1,365$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.731,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c1,363$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.062,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over44c1,338$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.725339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over47c1,242$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.929147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over48c1,233$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9417346.2%80 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52856253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over46c1,077$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.431,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c1,034$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.184,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c926$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.244,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over46c870$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.21,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c830$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.98,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c770.26$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.652,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over54c622.75$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.262,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over47c531.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9948851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c515.77$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.578,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over52c384.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14744245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over44c296$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over48c268$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.345045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over61c252$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.288,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c224.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over44c222$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6824350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022055.5%122 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0815147%71 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Over46c193.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.22532%8 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over52c181.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.941,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8237256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over23c177.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over47c170.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over47c158$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2656851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over49c150.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3827454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.523255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over49c138.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over47c134.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2446255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over44c114$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1618741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under56c102.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1157747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over32c101.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2655645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0428751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over45c89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0540446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58b…38b2backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over44c85.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6435747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c82.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.161,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over61c80.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0528749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under50c76.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over27c70.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8652750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd682…de06backed Under56c68.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over32c67.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5142451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over24c65.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6347056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over24c65.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6373355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over44c61.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1210351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over45c60.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0120654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c58.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2741346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over47c54.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.656450%32 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3835650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over47c51.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3353655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5427252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c47.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.592,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4519041.1%78 W · 112 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.