MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1c817dc08f5947d68b800bdb35f16e33d6938a63fe5cefa8599a320d87ae79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 53c | 165,140$87,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,482.9 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 66,666$37,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,333.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 37,045$17,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,411.15 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 44c | 35,879$15,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,843.43 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 30,668$14,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,097.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 16,613$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.11 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 12,890$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,056.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 12,598$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.83 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 9,397$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.18 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 9,331$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 49c | 9,235$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.36 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 5,159$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,018$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.24 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 4,850$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 4,096$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 3,036$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 3,015$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.71 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 56c | 2,650$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,612$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,351$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 45c | 1,868$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.48 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,853$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,810$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 1,365$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.73 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 1,363$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 44c | 1,338$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.72 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 1,242$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 1,233$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.94 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 1,077$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 1,034$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 926$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 830$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 41c | 770.26$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 54c | 622.75$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 47c | 531.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 515.77$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 44c | 296$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 268$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 252$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 224.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 222$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 46c | 193.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 52c | 181.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 23c | 177.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 47c | 170.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 158$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 49c | 150.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 49c | 138.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 47c | 134.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 56c | 102.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 32c | 101.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…38b2backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 44c | 85.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 82.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 61c | 80.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 50c | 76.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 27c | 70.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…de06backed Under | 56c | 68.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 32c | 67.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 24c | 65.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 24c | 65.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 44c | 61.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 45c | 60.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 58.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 47c | 54.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 47c | 51.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 47.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.