TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Over50c37,397$18,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,596.124858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over46c28,924$13,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,197.058763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under52c13,467$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,501.9319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c7,444$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.171,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,102$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c5,628$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.622,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c4,584$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.5875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over48c4,529$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.1431643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under51c3,709$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.5712755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under51c3,516$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.6211143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c2,500$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.211,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c2,500$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.771,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under51c2,500$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23019447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c1,789$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.73,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,684$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8425,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under53c1,511$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7156243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over53c1,362$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c1,319$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.612,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c957.83$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2527855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under56c851.75$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.775457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c844.42$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under54c831.88$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.663148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under51c645$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under47c620.9$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.394738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under50c600$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2884040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over51c589$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under55c534.82$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over45c499.92$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.978554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under49c456.44$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.783545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under48c403.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5266837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over8c390.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under57c383.77$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c357.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.261,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under55c351.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3633152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under52c344.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.182548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c321.07$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.919742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under53c317.48$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under52c314.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.471060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under58c259.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c243.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.181,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c243$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.021,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under72c231.05$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4135240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under50c225.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.86553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under55c223.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under55c219.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over9c211.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.939026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under62c208.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.735056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over49c196.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.072860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over49c196.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.072958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under55c195.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under54c192.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1810146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under39c179.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under51c173.07$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.87248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over48c157.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.457843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over48c157.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.459244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over9c153.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2518828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under54c134$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.643852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c123.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over50c102.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.363148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under49c99.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.986550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over53c98.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.327156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over49c96.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.114858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over51c96.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.049860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over51c94.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.113366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c92.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c91.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Under65c91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.854461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under42c90.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over48c83.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed Over50c80.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under63c77.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under52c77.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.362962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Under79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c68.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.031,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.842759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under50c53.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0810458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Over49c52.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.621662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Over47c49.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under49c48.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.773256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c45.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x149d…0ecfbacked Over52c42.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.