South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bfefe688c72a7675df9064094fcfd500ae8640fdb7a8406ed64ba77ba9ca92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 5,958$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.21 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 4,680$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,149$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 886.05$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 727.55$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 620.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…e32fbacked Yes | 57c | 526.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 45c | 387.11$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 333.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 44c | 266.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 256.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 60c | 209.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 52c | 121.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 64c | 120.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 43c | 119.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 56c | 118.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 51c | 118.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 56c | 112.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 111.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 61c | 108.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 59c | 88.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 21c | 77.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 29c | 76.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 21c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 70.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 78c | 66.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 65.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 64.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 46c | 64.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…05c8backed Yes | 41c | 53.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 53.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 21c | 47.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 45.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 45.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 59c | 37.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 48c | 32.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 76c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…85d0backed Yes | 52c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 77c | 27.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Yes | 57c | 25.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked No | 52c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 61c | 20.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.