South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3165a6520f1cc6efe22d1326a00ca2655506366f4cc1f40d05c7f74f35a2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 27c | 4,607$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.39 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 3,760$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.34 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 2,837$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 79c | 2,529$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 76c | 1,122$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 803.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 75c | 698.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 27c | 390.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 72c | 303.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 25c | 249.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 22c | 155.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 130.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 75c | 113.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 75c | 113.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 104.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 96.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 93.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 75c | 74.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 68.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 29c | 48.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 30c | 47.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 69c | 47.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 29c | 44.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…3a1dbacked Under | 75c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 73c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 75c | 22.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 74c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 71c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 74c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.