TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe337…4ad6backed Over78c4,174$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.2919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under34c3,846$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.5712646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under47c3,207$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.4221752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over59c3,174$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.888657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,990$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.545,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c1,811$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.982,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c1,452$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.111,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under32c1,374$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.058818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c1,250$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Under30c1,179$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1910933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over73c839.84$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c742.68$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under63c585.68$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.916339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over53c580$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.119447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over72c520.05$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.631662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over38c514.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9112738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over78c511.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9920665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under19c434.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0929047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6221765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over73c371.69$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over61c370.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.510635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over62c364.86$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over67c348.07$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over68c347.42$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over72c339.89$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.914934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over36c339.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5116051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under39c305.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.112850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under27c288.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.93050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under41c286.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c281$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.263,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under29c279.9$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5423044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c272.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over76c259.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.275230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over70c240$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.835246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over34c203.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6321538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under34c202.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under34c202.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over47c180.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.712156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under35c176.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under52c157.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3335046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under51c139$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under26c135.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under36c130.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5319040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under22c125.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.783237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over65c111.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over37c105.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under58c105.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9310766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over18c84.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.118631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Over76c82.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.554542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over59c81.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under35c79.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2833152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over74c78.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under59c71.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over61c70.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4318446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under57c68.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over64c67.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.477467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.915143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.121668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+81.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over18c54.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under37c51.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Under35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under54c49.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over33c42.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.356543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over73c41.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over34c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over34c39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over41c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6116845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Over58c33.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c32.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over74c32.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.395251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9578…1597backed Under62c31.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over71c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over57c24.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7a…bdb5backed Over80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over43c23.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over78c22.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.967262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over54c18.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over62c18.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.024971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over60c18.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under64c17.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.895957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over80c14.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.972095%19 W · 1 L+7.3wins+0.36per pick59cpaid+67.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under80c12.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.119740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.