Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bb43d6d3e1e4af559e59b74aa18e1e52e2e5e8ca8b9bd8bd3adf77f5bf5eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 64c | 104,376$66,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,848.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 36,698$12,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,504.04 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 34c | 35,000$11,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.89 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Falcons | 58c | 31,699$18,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,390.07 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 28,708$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.04 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 66c | 23,333$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.22 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 39c | 15,472$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.55 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 38c | 14,586$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605.19 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 70c | 14,462$10,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.03 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 13,092$9,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.22 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 12,004$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.56 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 10,677$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.6 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 10,508$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.8 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid | 43c | 9,968$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.8 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 9,707$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.46 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 9,343$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.61 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 9,000$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.18 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 1c | 8,961$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 8,911$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.32 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 8,270$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 57c | 7,779$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.35 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 30c | 6,774$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.16 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Liquid | 34c | 5,637$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,600$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.34 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 69c | 5,037$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.62 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 4,650$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 4,650$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,611$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.07 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,487$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.49 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,134$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.9 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,611$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.65 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,479$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.12 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,459$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.84 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 37c | 3,212$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,953$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.51 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 25c | 2,829$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.33 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,803$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,716$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 2,606$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,590$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.38 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,475$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,460$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,407$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.6 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,396$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,295$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.57 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 33c | 2,208$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,185$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.15 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 2,116$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,112$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.08 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,087$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.56 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,004$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.62 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,001$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,968$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.72 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,956$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,936$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.21 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,860$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,832$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.45 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,764$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.66 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 1,736$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.83 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,713$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.13 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,711$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.06 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,660$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.57 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,650$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,613$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.74 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,596$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.68 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,534$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.87 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Liquid | 29c | 1,511$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.27 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,503$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.17 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,492$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.77 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,459$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.91 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,400$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.98 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,253$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 1,250$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 31c | 1,235$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…b043backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,227$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,189$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.71 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Liquid | 6c | 1,147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 33c | 1,100$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,097$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,096$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.17 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,089$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.08 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,074$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,066$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.7 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,057$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,048$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,047$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,046$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.12 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3b8cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.