Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f7d19bc9ae105e9cb35d8c530082507f7008b9cf6f7c8534cb4465ddc4a3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 61c | 79,897$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,897.34 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 36,180$9,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,991.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 40c | 30,106$12,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039.4 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 64c | 24,550$15,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,725.71 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Team Liquid | 37c | 24,300$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,909.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 30c | 11,800$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 10,285$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.32 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 10,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 9,623$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.75 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 9,516$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.58 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Team Liquid | 37c | 8,219$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 7,263$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.33 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 5,482$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.08 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 5,329$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.06 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 5,220$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.8 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Falcons | 78c | 5,105$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.05 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 38c | 4,959$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.49 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,766$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.15 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 38c | 4,636$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.69 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 4,273$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.72 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 4,050$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Liquid | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 3,997$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.68 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 24c | 3,748$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.3 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,169$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.98 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 36c | 3,155$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Team Liquid | 33c | 3,144$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 38c | 3,116$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.02 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 3,000$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.1 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,719$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.65 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 2,710$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.88 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,700$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,640$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.61 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,619$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.76 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,603$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.34 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 23c | 2,417$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,393$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.55 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,021$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,001$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Team Liquid | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Liquid | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 1,798$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.18 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,701$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.52 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,690$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,683$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.55 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,610$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.69 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Liquid | 15c | 1,609$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid | 10c | 1,600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,580$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,500$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,476$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.52 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Team Liquid | 25c | 1,425$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 18c | 1,372$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,371$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.56 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,342$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,306$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,273$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.47 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,220$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.19 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,213$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.78 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 6c | 1,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 1,200$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,194$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.19 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,172$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,105$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,003$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.96 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,002$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 973$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 67c | 969.69$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 907.32$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 853.85$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…b043backed Team Falcons | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 790$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Falcons | 64c | 719.96$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.39 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 712.2$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Liquid | 29c | 699.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 68c | 695.38$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.52 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 675.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 651.77$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Team Falcons | 62c | 647.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 632$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 616.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Liquid | 6c | 533$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 69c | 532.84$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Liquid | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.