Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fdc754b9ddb80838cf378acd708432931a95ed4c65c826c25b33a2d77054aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 21,052$13,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,577.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Liquid | 29c | 17,922$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.67 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid | 36c | 16,051$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.79 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 70c | 15,683$11,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.22 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 9,493$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.61 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 6,192$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 6,000$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.76 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,939$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.75 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid | 36c | 4,700$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Falcons | 65c | 4,600$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.48 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 4,168$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Liquid | 34c | 4,080$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.37 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,047$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,370$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.21 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,936$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,250$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,024$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.79 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,001$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…be64backed Team Liquid | 28c | 2,000$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,895$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,840$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,822$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.41 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,816$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.2 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 16c | 1,787$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,656$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 1,634$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,407$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,287$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.66 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,270$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.27 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,238$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,039$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.06 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 999$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 925.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Falcons | 65c | 924.7$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Liquid | 13c | 911.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…a856backed Team Liquid | 18c | 909.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 75c | 831.72$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 811.87$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 800.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Falcons | 63c | 786.58$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.57 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Team Falcons | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Team Liquid | 24c | 739.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Liquid | 37c | 718.92$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 712.04$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.53 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Liquid | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Falcons | 64c | 696.85$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Team Liquid | 37c | 556.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 480$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Team Liquid | 17c | 474.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 470$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 467$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Liquid | 35c | 420.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 391.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…6759backed Team Liquid | 37c | 364.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 64c | 340.41$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Team Falcons | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 77c | 305.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Falcons | 65c | 301.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 296$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 293.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 291.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Falcons | 62c | 288.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Liquid | 36c | 280.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Team Falcons | 64c | 247.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 245.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 245$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…024fbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 237.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 234.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid | 35c | 227.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Team Liquid | 36c | 215.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 214.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 5c | 203.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 201.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Liquid | 14c | 200.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 191$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 186.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Liquid | 15c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 161.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…7befbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Team Falcons | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Team Falcons | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Team Falcons | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Team Liquid | 12c | 153.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Liquid | 26c | 152.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 151.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Team Liquid | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Team Liquid | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Liquid | 13c | 149.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…3330backed Team Falcons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 147.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.