MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb524dc88e619db0fbc5fd76fdfbea42bfacff045da7f8a1541cc99d72caac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 27,380$15,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,762.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 14,810$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.76 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 43c | 14,444$6,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.92 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 59c | 7,349$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.85 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 43c | 6,746$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.91 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Over | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 42c | 3,805$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 41c | 2,743$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 75c | 2,731$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.09 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 42c | 2,295$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.86 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 35c | 1,949$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.87 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 44c | 1,909$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.09 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 1,790$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 1,685$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,573$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 17c | 1,311$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,165$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.95 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 19c | 1,098$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,043$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 43c | 953.27$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 41c | 849.25$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.19 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 785.5$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 72c | 778.06$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 59c | 763$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 59c | 728.84$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 42c | 591.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 521.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 42c | 506.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 42c | 476.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 43c | 384$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 58c | 353.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Under | 56c | 292.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 58c | 288.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 60c | 256.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 42c | 253.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 60c | 244.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 74c | 194.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 187.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 41c | 181.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 42c | 177.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 174.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 73c | 138.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 39c | 128.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 42c | 123.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 42c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 60c | 100.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 95.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 42c | 90.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 89.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 81.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Under | 55c | 80.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d04…8d70backed Over | 26c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 43c | 66.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 41c | 64.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 60c | 50.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 50.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed Over | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 44c | 35.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 42c | 35.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 33.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe75backed Under | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 39c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 41c | 25.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 45c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 71c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.