MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e5b5bbe0b54464e1158336dc64fc50a273e2f405ed95fc605ddfbd3d030bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 179,491$109,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,489.49 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 72,275$28,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,087.88 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 72,258$48,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,940.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 63,593$41,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,792.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…8f07backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 62,910$24,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,375.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 46,429$18,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,321.95 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 40,317$16,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,238.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 32,500$19,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,825 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 30,933$16,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,086.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 27,000$16,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,469.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 17,949$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,948.72 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 15,777$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.72 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 10,811$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.81 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 9,244$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 8,648$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.87 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 8,098$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.92 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 6,475$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.73 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 6,351$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,701$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.91 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 5,460$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.81 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 4,825$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.55 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 4,143$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 3,533$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,280$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,257$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.92 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 2,881$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.39 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,390$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.61 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 2,300$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.21 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 2,105$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 2,081$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.87 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,823$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,496$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,310$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,304$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.76 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,223$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,213$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,136$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,041$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.66 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 974.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.74 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 961.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.54 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 961.53$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.53 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 844.44$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 830$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 824.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 775.18$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 758$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 730.26$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.55 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 690$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 663.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 627.09$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.62 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 563.63$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.34 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 536.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 530.43$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 525.84$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 513.27$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 513$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 496.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d04…8d70backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 485.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 482.1$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.41 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 477.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 462.56$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 461.8$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 459.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 444$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 410$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…b541backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 407.04$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 393.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 384.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 361.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 350$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 338.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…9d51backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 336$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 80c | 323$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 316.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 316$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 310.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 307.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 304.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 298.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.