TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked paiN Gaming12c44,527$5,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.531,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed LOUD43c31,170$13,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,868.3953750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LOUD60c16,110$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.781,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked paiN Gaming59c15,650$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.592,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN Gaming39c11,432$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.141,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked paiN Gaming53c10,257$5,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,409.7253255.1%293 W · 239 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed paiN Gaming63c6,350$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.6525546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD77c5,472$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.821,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LOUD63c5,062$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.0584942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed paiN Gaming62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed paiN Gaming18c4,823$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.394237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed paiN Gaming42c4,500$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.2782953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD47c4,132$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.841,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LOUD46c4,118$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.2789347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed paiN Gaming50c3,851$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.249556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked LOUD65c2,636$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.334558.6%202 W · 143 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked LOUD48c2,561$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.7133457.8%193 W · 141 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked paiN Gaming57c2,458$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.0498956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD43c2,432$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.251,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecab…f7ecbacked paiN Gaming1c2,109$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2217712.4%22 W · 155 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed paiN Gaming53c1,897$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.6433856.2%190 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed paiN Gaming9c1,883$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.622020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…b7d3backed paiN Gaming64c1,864$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.656460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed paiN Gaming16c1,750$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28064247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOUD38c1,561$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.811,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked LOUD78c1,500$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33535659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed paiN Gaming54c1,468$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.128859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed paiN Gaming26c1,450$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.513336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN Gaming21c1,215$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6947838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed paiN Gaming51c1,210$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.241,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Gaming15c1,196$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.942,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed paiN Gaming63c1,170$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.941,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed LOUD39c1,134$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.761,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LOUD42c1,040$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.41,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked paiN Gaming46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46083460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked paiN Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed LOUD37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63074637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked LOUD76c999.76$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0565359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed paiN Gaming51c980.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked paiN Gaming51c948.58$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7811145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed paiN Gaming11c938.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.721,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked paiN Gaming6c908.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.667115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed paiN Gaming56c898.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.841,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed paiN Gaming23c869.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOUD44c863.45$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7287844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LOUD39c800$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0378…7634backed paiN Gaming64c778.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed paiN Gaming51c762.63$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1128042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked LOUD42c738.1$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.176955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked LOUD74c734.8$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.052860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed LOUD38c723.18$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1850344.9%226 W · 277 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Gaming26c699.72$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.292,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed LOUD42c686$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.554756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LOUD49c642.41$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed LOUD57c618.72$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8562151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked paiN Gaming48c600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.488950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked paiN Gaming50c585.69$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.851,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked LOUD37c557.57$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0160347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Gaming27c556.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.121,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked LOUD55c530.21$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5893844.3%416 W · 522 L-31.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed paiN Gaming23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed paiN Gaming5c511.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257839.7%31 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked paiN Gaming38c500.05$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.021,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed LOUD49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25514339.2%56 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed paiN Gaming56c482.14$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed paiN Gaming24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Gaming22c449.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.561,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked LOUD40c441.34$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.813442.5%57 W · 77 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Gaming15c436.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.222,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LOUD55c433.91$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.471,05447.2%497 W · 557 L-4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked LOUD37c419.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2927644.9%124 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked LOUD48c416.77$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8112425.8%32 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed LOUD36c416.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.589460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD42c416$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.361,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed paiN Gaming20c406.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034141.6%142 W · 199 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked paiN Gaming63c399.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9638655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed paiN Gaming3c398.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2534137.8%129 W · 212 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked LOUD60c387$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6384949.4%419 W · 430 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD43c382.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.011,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed paiN Gaming50c380.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.87955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked LOUD41c344.58$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1834342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed LOUD61c329.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1877246.2%357 W · 415 L+18.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked paiN Gaming54c328$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.126358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOUD59c322.66$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.962,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed LOUD48c317.3$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed LOUD40c304.71$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8323749.4%117 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed paiN Gaming58c300.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17531050%155 W · 155 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed paiN Gaming16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed paiN Gaming16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4879650.6%403 W · 393 L+47.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed paiN Gaming7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055010.4%57 W · 493 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed paiN Gaming61c258.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3869857.4%401 W · 297 L+37.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed paiN Gaming18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed paiN Gaming63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.596149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming39c249.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked LOUD50c249.01$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3928544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked paiN Gaming41c244.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed LOUD43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5656949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed paiN Gaming22c227.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked paiN Gaming61c224.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8146154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.