TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No61c146,232$88,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,407.184261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes39c59,885$23,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,563.9412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c20,860$8,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,135.435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c14,184$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.773,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes22c10,668$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c8,549$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.0187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes33c8,193$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.4198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c7,769$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.381,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes39c7,158$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.1317740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes39c5,800$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2626145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes40c4,287$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.9912654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes39c2,884$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.7691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c2,416$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.6470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed No61c2,310$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c2,275$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes10c1,973$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c1,897$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.8273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes38c1,751$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.7320043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes41c1,716$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6245437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c1,190$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No66c1,080$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.215162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes39c972.75$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No60c939.86$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.243240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes4c874.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes6c787$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.225440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes28c783.25$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2935247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes39c751.5$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0919642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes25c703.43$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes39c631$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0918456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes39c615.38$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c611.54$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.510042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes36c539$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5118967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes20c504.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No62c484$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes25c470.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes9c385.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5625652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes32c376.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes39c375.91$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No72c375.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c352$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes37c344$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.819726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c299.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.791,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Yes36c278.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes42c275.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5352923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No79c232.71$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c207.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+124.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes39c197.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9212850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes39c185.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4112356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes39c184.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.037147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No75c172.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4910249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes40c166.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.679742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Yes9c163.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No62c156.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.381758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No62c156.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No65c152$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.547367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No71c149.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.954955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes39c149.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.441442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes39c141.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4611848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes34c141$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.942722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed No62c136.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes39c133.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Yes39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes40c124.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c123.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.351,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No59c123$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4332848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca5…0cd6backed No62c122.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed No62c120.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes34c108.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes32c97.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88da…15c6backed No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…68f9backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No70c82.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.794566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No70c81.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No70c81.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5512058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No62c79.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No62c78.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.693262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No62c78.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.691675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No62c78.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.695068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No69c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed No62c66.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes39c63.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.654231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a5…307abacked Yes38c62.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked No62c62.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c61.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2126050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e3…3678backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c57.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No59c54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.