Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6b71359341b67af8f812965377a0386946a7ee9ff06dca0b5f9b0acb0e2e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 5,105$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.16 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 37c | 2,582$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.69 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,223$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 1,478$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.69 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,463$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.52 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 71c | 1,353$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 70c | 1,284$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 1,140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 2c | 936.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yes | 57c | 832$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 828.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 56c | 791.06$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.62 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 7c | 646.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 570.17$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 36c | 500$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 469.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 400.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 5c | 390.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 20c | 296.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 285.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 259.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 34c | 177.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 30c | 167.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 79c | 138.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 73c | 137.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 66c | 124.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 70c | 119$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 105.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 66c | 95.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 89.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 66c | 81.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 81.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 75.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…d1b3backed No | 66c | 73.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 26c | 55.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 28c | 53.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Yes | 59c | 49.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 47.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22d…878fbacked Yes | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 45.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…e1f3backed No | 42c | 44.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…0124backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 79c | 39.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 50c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 32.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe218…860dbacked Yes | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 54c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 20.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…d603backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 66c | 16.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.