TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes34c15,014$5,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,104.814261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c13,778$9,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.2698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes29c12,998$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.445440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No66c12,082$7,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.9112951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c9,431$6,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.2999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…71dabacked Yes36c8,862$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes31c6,073$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.864420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9910945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c3,750$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.091,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes13c3,182$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes23c2,606$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.8118967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c2,465$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes33c2,070$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.5744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes30c2,002$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes21c1,912$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.543240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes33c1,778$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3436646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes34c1,730$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.186145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c1,597$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.063,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes30c1,313$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes36c1,225$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8931446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes2c1,109$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c942.26$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes27c908.61$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No64c810$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No71c799.67$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.181,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No64c797.07$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad9…40e6backed No61c760.89$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes39c666.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes27c575.52$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.172832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes37c540.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes34c532$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes34c528$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5232848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes10c502.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.713525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes34c394.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.221910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c356.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c316.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.171,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes34c285.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9416657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c263.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes30c232$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6817137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c231.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes34c216.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes35c216.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c215$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x142a…7fd6backed Yes35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes24c205.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.021,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes33c185$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No65c150.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No71c146.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c144.76$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No66c141.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.014780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c139.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No66c137.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9152923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2068…d97abacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No66c124.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0912850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes41c122.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc22…9c09backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes36c100.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0239435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No73c96.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6919852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No66c93.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.147147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No66c92.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6719642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes22c90.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes33c90.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed No80c86.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d64…a518backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes28c81.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes15c81.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.582619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c3a…50aebacked Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c78.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911c…87bcbacked No65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No66c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed No80c67.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52055%11 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick73cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c65.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9490…3d24backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No66c62.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No66c62.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4312356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Yes35c60.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes33c59.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c59.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes19c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.553426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Yes28c53.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1710754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1835149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No73c44.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed Yes39c32.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9949…31a2backed No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No76c30.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2117244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.