TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over39c147,197$56,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,677.195650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under61c71,232$43,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,780.591533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c27,231$17,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,349.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c18,395$11,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,033.325,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under62c10,822$6,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.8442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c6,876$4,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.142,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over36c3,669$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.5218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Over37c3,494$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.9550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c2,935$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.431,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c2,437$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over25c2,432$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under62c1,867$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.2846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under62c1,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under75c1,123$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b1…dc74backed Over38c1,080$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c1,020$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.42,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under61c902.41$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33319742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c819$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.411,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c818.58$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.121,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under63c806$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.352,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over29c799.97$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9912940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under66c733.6$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under64c678.29$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under65c676.92$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c662$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c574.34$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.911,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over13c571.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.451,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under64c517.28$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under69c450.43$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2414753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over38c438.18$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.519244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over38c438.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.57843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under62c420$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under62c367.58$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2618247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under62c349.5$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.479551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over24c325$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under66c312.44$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4d…448fbacked Under63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.221414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over40c216.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over25c205$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c202.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.491,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked Under61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under62c181.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c180.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.432,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under79c170.01$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c168$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under63c165$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7313167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over14c151.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under78c151.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under78c151.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under62c143.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5415651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over38c127.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3611457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c124.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.051,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under62c120.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.878375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under78c119.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.716230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.832,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c84.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under61c81.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.962766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c79.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.379054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over24c76.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over39c72.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under61c69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under62c65.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6733365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under64c64.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3915554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under62c63.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2411861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under62c59.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7340451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over20c53.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6516845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9c…5ea3backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0e60…7d58backed Over29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc972…98b6backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Under61c49.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.464173.2%30 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under61c49.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.162272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over39c48.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.024362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3518446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over39c43.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.889860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under62c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under62c38.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe399…6bd7backed Over39c34.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under61c32.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe327…9bbbbacked Under62c32.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under63c28.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.715848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7695…651ebacked Under63c28.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under62c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3919164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under62c24.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.062962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under78c21.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.