TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c14,710$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.388,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c4,553$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.3375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c4,420$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.785,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c2,531$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.973,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over31c2,408$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.027028.6%20 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed Over64c2,235$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.65750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over34c1,813$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6236735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over35c1,272$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.92,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under51c1,180$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under36c1,049$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.581,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Over38c1,023$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6521252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over2c654.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over25c630.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.319447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c622.96$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under63c588.11$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c573.09$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.971,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under65c550.64$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.265457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over40c530$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over22c525.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under47c516.24$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea83…e0ccbacked Under43c496.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c495.84$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.58247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over64c457.48$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over29c410.62$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0819135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under55c405.95$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8314753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c391.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212645.2%57 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under71c382.42$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Under43c353.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over38c333.34$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6712940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under53c290.1$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over42c264$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c257.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under53c256.9$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c240.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c235.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.31,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over51c192.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+147.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under63c178.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5563261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under36c175.77$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under63c156.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over49c154.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8429245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over38c152.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under36c151.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.146759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9678856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over64c149.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.363647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under36c132.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0218247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.82,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe399…6bd7backed Over17c91.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under37c90.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under38c90.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under54c85.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4311454.4%62 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under49c79.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4315364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over49c77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9116845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over53c71.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1411944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c69.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.421,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over63c69.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.612,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over40c65.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over49c49.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.923237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over40c48.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4199…b1c3backed Under49c46.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over40c43.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.433641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Under49c40.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.676955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Under37c39.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.642454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under57c37.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8813850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c36.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2f…6c56backed Under55c36.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over38c29.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over63c27.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Under47c25.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.381747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c24.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7733365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd940…e682backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bd…8c04backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.