South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef989549a2069bc20cd181c73b3309f2f62d9f0ffc431041b8056a332a99e828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 56c | 3,089$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 2,052$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked No | 56c | 2,032$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No | 56c | 1,347$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 1,165$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 991.02$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.79 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 890.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.26 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 65c | 737.92$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 560.75$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 409.42$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 250.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 44c | 221.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed No | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 44c | 188.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Yes | 21c | 167.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 40c | 146.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 33c | 145$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 10c | 139$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 131$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 44c | 127.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 44c | 114.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 32c | 113.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 107.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 54c | 78.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 77.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 35c | 70.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 59.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 44c | 54.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 34c | 50.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 38c | 46.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 44c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 79c | 35.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 35.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 24.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked No | 80c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Racing Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.