South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eedabce28d1ce521e3aba328e7fbe8e6cfcf6e42f35355652f862537f1175a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 15,567$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 14,160$8,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 4,376$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 31c | 1,626$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.95 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 80c | 1,124$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.64 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 21c | 1,116$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.88 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 62c | 980.76$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.57 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 32c | 928.03$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.06 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 906.13$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.65 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Under | 70c | 714.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 664.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 70c | 652.32$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.1 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 627.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 623.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 24c | 609.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 8c | 570.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 33c | 568.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 22c | 538.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 353.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 25c | 341.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 337.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…cac8backed Over | 60c | 333.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 35c | 285.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 74c | 273.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 220.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 70c | 193.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Over | 67c | 170$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 42c | 169.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 78c | 161.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Under | 72c | 145.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 64c | 142.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 29c | 138.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 29c | 121.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 31c | 113.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 40c | 113$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 24c | 102.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 31c | 101.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 12c | 96.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 24c | 95.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 52c | 93.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Under | 33c | 90.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Over | 42c | 89.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 62c | 86.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 83.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 22c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 67c | 75.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 79c | 69.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 69.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 69c | 67.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 30c | 59.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 75c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…aaaabacked Under | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 32cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Under | 25c | 46.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 75c | 41.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 69c | 39.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 36c | 37.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…6bd7backed Over | 61c | 32.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…076bbacked Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 74c | 21.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 16.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 15.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…b29ebacked Over | 74c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Racing Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.