Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f12ece29622f1c27ade0d165d1aedf4aca446704011de5caf2b029814ad6241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $639,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.99 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed 1win | 68c | 98,227$66,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,533.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 64c | 67,349$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,348.84 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 33,449$8,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,180.46 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 1win | 66c | 29,472$19,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.48 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 26,012$8,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,672.56 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 24,932$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 19,449$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.04 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 18,279$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.89 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 18,170$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 67c | 16,774$11,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.29 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 71c | 14,462$10,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…0cf1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 14,112$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 68c | 11,060$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.29 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 67c | 9,500$6,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 9,188$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 79c | 7,862$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.77 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 7,560$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.06 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 7,180$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.33 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 71c | 6,304$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.08 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 58c | 6,110$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.2 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 6,072$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 5c | 6,059$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed 1win | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 5,945$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.47 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 76c | 5,919$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 5,838$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.27 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 5,746$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.11 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 1win | 72c | 5,588$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.6 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 5,173$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.19 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 5,008$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.78 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 4,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked 1win | 69c | 4,349$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Vici Gaming | 8c | 4,036$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.07 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 4,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 3,559$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed 1win | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 3,450$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 3,353$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 3,147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 73c | 3,009$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.51 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,930$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.23 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,798$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 2,716$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,708$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.41 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.11 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,619$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.75 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,565$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.27 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,512$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.19 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,353$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.82 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 70c | 2,158$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.83 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 63c | 2,134$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed 1win | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,950$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.92 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed 1win | 55c | 1,936$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.07 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,925$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,915$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.73 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,745$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 63c | 1,740$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.6 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed 1win | 64c | 1,738$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.2 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,736$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,706$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 74c | 1,699$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.77 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,620$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 1,575$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,570$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 67c | 1,568$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…f67fbacked Vici Gaming | 4c | 1,568$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,546$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.07 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,540$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.84 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed 1win | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,500$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,480$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,433$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.19 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,372$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.92 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked 1win | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,324$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,312$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 66c | 1,240$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.75 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,188$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 68c | 1,147$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 1,110$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,030$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked 1win | 68c | 1,022$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked 1win | 69c | 1,018$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed 1win | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 990.56$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 914$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.62 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.