Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0fc257a836a8e3769c6606ba527f43efe83cae8d3e63517704b65c4dccc6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 46,000$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,180 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 31,002$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,753.88 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed 1win | 67c | 15,928$10,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.32 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed 1win | 68c | 13,200$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 73c | 11,272$8,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.01 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed 1win | 67c | 8,080$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 1win | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked 1win | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 6,004$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.39 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 5,933$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 68c | 5,552$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.6 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 71c | 5,539$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.17 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 5,248$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed 1win | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed 1win | 67c | 3,724$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked 1win | 67c | 3,497$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.84 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 68c | 3,009$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.05 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed 1win | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,966$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.1 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked 1win | 68c | 2,722$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 2,679$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.11 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed 1win | 69c | 2,656$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 1win | 70c | 2,472$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.66 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 67c | 2,249$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.76 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,924$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.6 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked 1win | 67c | 1,684$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.84 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,637$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 1win | 69c | 1,587$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.91 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…1a02backed 1win | 68c | 1,560$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1win | 74c | 1,500$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed 1win | 68c | 1,463$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,356$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed 1win | 67c | 1,272$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 1,204$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,090$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 77c | 973.56$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed 1win | 67c | 938.98$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked 1win | 66c | 892.01$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked 1win | 68c | 873.08$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked 1win | 70c | 853.36$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 825.51$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 807.1$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 1win | 73c | 796.35$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed 1win | 66c | 785.79$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked 1win | 69c | 619.97$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 1win | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 553.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 71c | 538.63$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 502.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 73c | 498$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 472.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 401.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed 1win | 72c | 399$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1win | 75c | 379.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 372.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 330.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 1win | 67c | 320.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 316.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed 1win | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 1win | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 291.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked 1win | 68c | 256$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 1win | 72c | 234$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 233.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed 1win | 65c | 219.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed 1win | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed 1win | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 199.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1win | 73c | 197.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…c0f7backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 179.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…fa02backed 1win | 72c | 178.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 173.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 13c | 169.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed 1win | 71c | 167$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…ff0abacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 163.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1win | 75c | 163$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked 1win | 67c | 152.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked 1win | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed 1win | 66c | 148.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked 1win | 66c | 146$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.