Tennis · resolved market
Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f2632f8b4e869734233ab165163619750342e8dab113248007fd8fce5324724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 13,177$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.38 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.27 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 462.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 52c | 303$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…1246backed Over | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 52c | 253$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 52c | 252.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 49c | 251.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 48c | 246.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 52c | 235.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 214.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 48c | 199.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 57c | 174.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 162.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 155.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…fec8backed Over | 52c | 129$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 52c | 121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 53c | 116.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 101.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 52c | 92.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 52c | 90.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e48…a7bcbacked Over | 52c | 89.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 48c | 74.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 67.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Over | 50c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 51c | 44.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Over | 53c | 39.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed Over | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 52c | 35.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 51c | 32.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 49c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad33…2658backed Over | 53c | 28.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 51c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 53c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs JodarJodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Fils vs JodarJodar won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.