Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9388cf63190e5daa459c7dc8d8b46673ec68e068cc2f9e8b104019d8fbcd5b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Fils, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Fils | 69c | 1,067$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.06 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Fils | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jodar | 44c | 808.36$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.68 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fils | 52c | 700$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Fils | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Fils | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jodar | 42c | 365.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Fils | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Fils | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Fils | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jodar | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jodar | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jodar | 42c | 220.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Jodar | 46c | 198.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Fils | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jodar | 23c | 139.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jodar | 33c | 125.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Fils | 56c | 123.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fils | 73c | 101.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Jodar | 46c | 63.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed Jodar | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Jodar | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Jodar | 64c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Jodarthis page
- Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Fils vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Fils vs JodarJodar won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.