Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00869cd92b033dfcf69fd466950ccf75f002b511d42b5c377e31800fd69af36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svajdaof Mensik, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Mensik | 58c | 8,594$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Svajda | 43c | 5,082$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.74 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svajda | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Svajda | 43c | 1,271$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.58 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Svajda | 55c | 1,041$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.3 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Svajda | 57c | 1,041$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.62 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Svajda | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.85 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mensik | 52c | 990.96$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mensik | 68c | 699.98$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Mensik | 46c | 603.79$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Mensik | 57c | 456.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Mensik | 44c | 455.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Mensik | 67c | 402.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Mensik | 43c | 370.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Mensik | 43c | 267$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Svajda | 31c | 262.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Svajda | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Mensik | 57c | 214.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Mensik | 43c | 200.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Svajda | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Svajda | 28c | 189.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Svajda | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Mensik | 57c | 169.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Svajda | 32c | 160.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Svajda | 38c | 131.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Mensik | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Svajda | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mensik | 30c | 96.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Mensik | 57c | 84.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Mensik | 57c | 81.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Svajda | 32c | 80.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mensik | 54c | 62.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Mensik | 48c | 61.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Svajda | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Mensik | 57c | 55.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Mensik | 55c | 51.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Mensik | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Svajda | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Mensik | 55c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svajda | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mensik | 52c | 43.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mensik | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Mensik | 57c | 38.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Mensik | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed Mensik | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…f617backed Svajda | 41c | 33.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Mensik | 57c | 32.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Mensik | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…0a2bbacked Mensik | 55c | 24.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Mensik | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)this page
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik won
- Set 1 Winner: Svajda vs MensikMensik won
- Set 2 Winner: Svajda vs MensikSvajda won
- Svajda vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Trevor Svajda vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.