Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddde4d8678d7d8cab932955e77b348e19e36edc60a907e331e1441cbbe0c6d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,221$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 2,206$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.57 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 1,701$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.5 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,567$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 59c | 1,101$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.69 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 38c | 838.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.88 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 19c | 602.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 521.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 403.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 61c | 274.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 32c | 216.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 199.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 39c | 184.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 60c | 161.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 60c | 161.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 40c | 143.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 49c | 138.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 131.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 101.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 89.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 63c | 87.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 60c | 80.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 60c | 80.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 60c | 67.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 60c | 64.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 62.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 55c | 61.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 57.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 34c | 55.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 50.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 44.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 60c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 55c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…98b6backed Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Over | 62c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 60c | 23.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over | 55c | 18.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Over | 63c | 16.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.