Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x040bd441ed724e9c67b6dd76da92b5afd44730ef5c839d2433365d85af040a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Randers FCof FC Nordsjælland, Randers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Nordsjælland | 26c | 4,091$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Randers FC | 75c | 3,442$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Nordsjælland | 29c | 390.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Randers FC | 71c | 277.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Randers FC | 76c | 215.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed FC Nordsjælland | 7c | 212.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Nordsjælland | 36c | 185.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Randers FC | 76c | 165.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Randers FC | 76c | 142.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Randers FC | 74c | 131.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Randers FC | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Randers FC | 73c | 118.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Randers FC | 73c | 66.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Randers FC | 65c | 44.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Randers FC | 71c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Randers FC | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Randers FC | 76c | 31.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Randers FC | 76c | 31.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Randers FC | 76c | 31.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Randers FC | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Randers FC | 66c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Randers FC | 66c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Randers FC | 78c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Randers FC | 76c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Randers FC | 77c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.