Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29e2bca12a7d310bdeef16cbee82be69e1b38ee2540507bb982a60c6c60cdf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 44c | 231,499$102,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,478.42 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 89,523$56,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,041.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 23,041$16,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 20,852$9,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,677.03 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 14,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 41c | 12,628$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.23 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 12,000$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.98 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 11,700$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.91 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 10,667$6,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.28 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 9,332$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.32 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 27c | 9,254$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.68 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 8,228$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed OG | 55c | 8,141$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.59 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed OG | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 5,930$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.9 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 27c | 5,792$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.04 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 5,115$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.24 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 33c | 4,957$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.98 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed OG | 36c | 4,095$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.63 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 4,086$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 4,083$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.96 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 55c | 3,600$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.8 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed OG | 54c | 3,524$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.94 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 3,021$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.42 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,754$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.62 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 2,729$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.73 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,540$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.54 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 2,453$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.16 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed OG | 55c | 2,408$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed OG | 51c | 2,295$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.9 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 41c | 2,226$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 2,202$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.79 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 2,152$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.22 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,075$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.89 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,966$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 29c | 1,853$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.11 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,773$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.11 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.24 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,612$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,610$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,512$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.27 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,433$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.38 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,370$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.59 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,354$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.08 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 32c | 1,327$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.61 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,318$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,233$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 33c | 1,229$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.44 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed OG | 56c | 1,224$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.96 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed OG | 37c | 1,183$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.13 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,064$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,061$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.86 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,027$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.19 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 14c | 1,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked OG | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked OG | 4c | 999.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed OG | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 947.94$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed OG | 44c | 906.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 894.57$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed OG | 56c | 890.22$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed OG | 42c | 862.06$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed OG | 40c | 853$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed OG | 44c | 843.66$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 835$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 778.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked OG | 30c | 763.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 34c | 730.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 694.94$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.17 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked OG | 40c | 690.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 670.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 38c | 649.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 636.09$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed OG | 50c | 631.09$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 41c | 615$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 598.49$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.23 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 591.43$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed OG | 36c | 589.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed OG | 34c | 577.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked OG | 47c | 568.08$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 507.19$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked OG | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 498.63$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.