Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4e08b82623946ee64d7bd72c40e9cb43a0a79b6b73ba205ca75403df64489d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Nigma Galaxy, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 51c | 100,784$51,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,542.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked OG | 67c | 34,252$22,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 29,800$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900.01 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 24,426$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.39 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 23,236$9,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,492.72 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 23,229$11,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,311.52 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 21,930$10,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,740.13 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 13,418$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.41 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 51c | 13,056$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.44 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed OG | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 9,819$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 8,636$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 8,237$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.18 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.98 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 65c | 4,787$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.09 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 4,666$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.32 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 4,495$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 62c | 3,249$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.66 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed OG | 54c | 3,076$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 3,000$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.31 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 53c | 2,916$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.72 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 67c | 2,546$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,393$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked OG | 54c | 2,251$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.52 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed OG | 50c | 2,006$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.64 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 68c | 2,003$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.22 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,984$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,930$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.22 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 49c | 1,747$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.3 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,600$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.07 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 48c | 1,599$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.97 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,512$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,494$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,491$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.24 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,479$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.41 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,466$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.16 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,389$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.73 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,350$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.22 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed OG | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 45c | 1,194$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked OG | 52c | 1,179$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,099$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.93 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed OG | 42c | 1,097$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.32 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2806backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,090$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 56c | 1,080$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.66 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed OG | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,042$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,026$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 972.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 964.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked OG | 51c | 955.32$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 68c | 903.9$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 899.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 866$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 848.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 844.51$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.37 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 830.3$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.21 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 785$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed OG | 40c | 753.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.15 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 618.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed OG | 49c | 611.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 598.54$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed OG | 55c | 585.86$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 545.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 493.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 488$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed OG | 50c | 485.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked OG | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 441$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 432.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 430.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked OG | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 50c | 402$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked OG | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 55c | 400$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 53c | 399.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed OG | 52c | 363.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 60c | 343.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked OG | 73c | 339.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 335.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 66c | 333.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 79c | 329.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed OG | 63c | 311.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed OG | 51c | 302.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.