Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3f6e18d67754071134fb5b93cbc106c29856ff022224734b14036ce748ac8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PuckChamp | 14c | 8,147$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.97 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Level UP | 75c | 7,887$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.7 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 27c | 7,067$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.14 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 21c | 3,766$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.7 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed PuckChamp | 24c | 3,007$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.25 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp | 12c | 2,550$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Level UP | 39c | 2,038$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.52 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 12c | 1,641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 1,562$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 30c | 1,224$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Level UP | 69c | 1,010$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PuckChamp | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed PuckChamp | 21c | 894.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PuckChamp | 20c | 869.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked PuckChamp | 11c | 864$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked PuckChamp | 16c | 830$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PuckChamp | 23c | 699.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked PuckChamp | 12c | 640.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked PuckChamp | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed PuckChamp | 24c | 595.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 79c | 507.76$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Level UP | 43c | 504$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PuckChamp | 24c | 497.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed PuckChamp | 14c | 457.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Level UP | 46c | 434.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp | 20c | 424.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PuckChamp | 34c | 420$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PuckChamp | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked PuckChamp | 22c | 387.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked PuckChamp | 24c | 379.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 66c | 369.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed PuckChamp | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Level UP | 75c | 347$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 36c | 344.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed PuckChamp | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed PuckChamp | 24c | 333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp | 16c | 323.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 30c | 297.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Level UP | 70c | 287.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 20c | 282.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Level UP | 64c | 282.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed PuckChamp | 29c | 277.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PuckChamp | 10c | 277.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Level UP | 41c | 276.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PuckChamp | 18c | 269.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 19c | 252.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Level UP | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked PuckChamp | 31c | 240.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 239.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PuckChamp | 24c | 236$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PuckChamp | 29c | 222.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 18c | 202.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked PuckChamp | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed PuckChamp | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PuckChamp | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked PuckChamp | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed PuckChamp | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed PuckChamp | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 19c | 190.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 186.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp | 57c | 178.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…32e2backed PuckChamp | 21c | 169.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked PuckChamp | 25c | 164.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp | 22c | 160.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked PuckChamp | 21c | 153.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Level UP | 61c | 152.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…e095backed PuckChamp | 21c | 152.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 149.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Level UP | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 70c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Level UP | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PuckChamp | 22c | 137$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed PuckChamp | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Level UP | 66c | 131$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed PuckChamp | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…735bbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed PuckChamp | 24c | 122.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1acfbacked PuckChamp | 9c | 116.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp | 23c | 107.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked PuckChamp | 17c | 106.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked PuckChamp | 24c | 104.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed PuckChamp | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PuckChamp | 26c | 101.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked PuckChamp | 30c | 99.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed PuckChamp | 15c | 99.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Level UP | 77c | 97.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 37c | 86.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Level UP | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PuckChamp | 22c | 84.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed PuckChamp | 25c | 84.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed PuckChamp | 12c | 84.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed PuckChamp | 23c | 83.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Level UP | 79c | 78.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Level UP | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PuckChamp | 19c | 73.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed PuckChamp | 19c | 71.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Level UP | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.