TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Level UPof Level UP, PuckChamp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86b1…c094backed PuckChamp14c8,147$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9765625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Level UP75c7,887$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp27c7,067$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.1471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp21c3,766$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed PuckChamp24c3,007$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.258046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp12c2,550$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1432756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Level UP39c2,038$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5232549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp12c1,641$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp28c1,562$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp30c1,224$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.111,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Level UP69c1,010$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1814446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed PuckChamp18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.643738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed PuckChamp21c894.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.65244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked PuckChamp20c869.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked PuckChamp11c864$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0413142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked PuckChamp16c830$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.521558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PuckChamp23c699.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked PuckChamp12c640.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.887045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked PuckChamp11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed PuckChamp24c595.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14312740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP79c507.76$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.261,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Level UP43c504$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2812253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked PuckChamp36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked PuckChamp24c497.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.211,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed PuckChamp14c457.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8519135.6%68 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Level UP46c434.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6846451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked PuckChamp20c424.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5828145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed PuckChamp34c420$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PuckChamp28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd788…5f8ebacked PuckChamp22c387.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked PuckChamp24c379.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1412646%58 W · 68 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Level UP66c369.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed PuckChamp15c366.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Level UP75c347$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.756369.8%44 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp36c344.07$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.431,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed PuckChamp30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa28a…01c5backed PuckChamp24c333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp16c323.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.331052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Level UP53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14132445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp30c297.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Level UP70c287.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.135352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp20c282.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Level UP64c282.14$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.572441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed PuckChamp29c277.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3613336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed PuckChamp10c277.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2591553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Level UP41c276.53$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1524255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed PuckChamp18c269.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4812559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp19c252.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0981345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Level UP58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked PuckChamp31c240.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.688750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PuckChamp30c239.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5825549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed PuckChamp24c236$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6427636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PuckChamp29c222.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6242146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp18c202.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked PuckChamp11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227753.2%41 W · 36 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed PuckChamp11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PuckChamp23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4674549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked PuckChamp11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed PuckChamp11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228953.9%48 W · 41 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed PuckChamp11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227553.3%40 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp19c190.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.752,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked PuckChamp28c186.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.198035%28 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp57c178.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…32e2backed PuckChamp21c169.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked PuckChamp25c164.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp22c160.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2134041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked PuckChamp21c153.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.175550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Level UP61c152.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4515957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fe…e095backed PuckChamp21c152.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked PuckChamp36c149.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.083345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…05e5backed Level UP70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP70c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.454659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Level UP64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed PuckChamp22c137$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1424138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed PuckChamp21c132$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Level UP66c131$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5450032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed PuckChamp21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.35048%24 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd438…735bbacked PuckChamp39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed PuckChamp24c122.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3138759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e68…1acfbacked PuckChamp9c116.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp23c107.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.626342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked PuckChamp17c106.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked PuckChamp24c104.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed PuckChamp59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed PuckChamp26c101.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7329432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked PuckChamp30c99.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed PuckChamp15c99.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Level UP77c97.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp37c86.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Level UP70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7135461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed PuckChamp22c84.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6428650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed PuckChamp25c84.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123442.7%100 W · 134 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed PuckChamp12c84.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.094568.9%31 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b00…3d66backed PuckChamp23c83.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510935.8%39 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Level UP79c78.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6427459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Level UP67c74.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.744269%29 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed PuckChamp19c73.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1352046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed PuckChamp19c71.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.398250%41 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Level UP67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.